Current betting odds for the New York mayoral race lean heavily in favor of Andrew Cuomo, especially as Eric Adams, the current mayor, may be facing increasing challenges. Adams is set for re-election on November 4, but a competitive primary on June 24 complicates his path, particularly given the multiple scandals surrounding him that have opened the door for numerous candidates to enter the race.
What chances do these candidates have to secure the mayoral position? Here’s my in-depth analysis of the leading contenders along with my predictions for the New York mayoral race.
2025 New York Mayor Betting Odds
Betting odds for the upcoming mayoral race in New York City can be found at BetOnline :
| Candidate | Odds |
|---|---|
| Andrew Cuomo | -350 |
| Adrienne Adams | +1000 |
| Eric Adams | +1200 |
| Zohran Mamdani | +1200 |
| Scott Stringer | +2000 |
| Brad Lander | +2500 |
| Tish James | +2800 |
The current betting odds highlight the chaotic nature of the race. Former Governor Andrew Cuomo possesses the political connections and experience necessary to launch a strong campaign for mayor.
However, there are also formidable challengers like Adrienne Adams and Zohran Mamdani, who present a significant threat to both Adams’ re-election and Cuomo’s potential bid for mayor.
Beyond the primary candidates, places like BetOnline even offer odds on more unconventional candidates, such as Hillary Clinton or members of the Trump family, for those interested in less typical betting choices.
Leading Candidates for the 2025 New York City Mayoral Race
In the upcoming 2025 New York City mayoral contest, candidates range from the former governor to several serious challengers and others unlikely to win. Here are the top four candidates who are most likely to succeed.
Andrew Cuomo(-350)
Andrew Cuomo, previously the governor of New York, is currently being seen as the frontrunner in the mayoral race. He gained tremendous popularity at the outset of the pandemic with his informative COVID-19 briefings, although he resigned due to a scandal related to sexual misconduct scandal in 2021.
Although he hasn’t formally declared his candidacy for the mayoral position as of this point, Cuomo is said to have been actively preparing for months and is anticipated to announce his campaign soon.
Having resigned in 2021 amid a sexual harassment controversy, former Governor Andrew Cuomo is gearing up to announce his candidacy for the role of Mayor of New York City. https://t.co/dpJ0GZwkzg
— WENY News (@WENYTV) February 26, 2025
With strong political ties and name recognition, Cuomo stands out as a compelling candidate and is likely to be the front-runner, should he decide to compete.
Adrienne Adams (+1000)
Adrienne Adams, who serves as the Speaker of the New York City Council, is rumored to be regarding a potential run for mayor, particularly in light of the growing calls for her to challenge Cuomo in the primary. Among her competitors is New York Attorney General Letitia James, who is also advocating for Adams. challenge Eric Adams Speculations around her candidacy are heightened as sources indicate she has received multiple calls discussing her potential run and is seriously contemplating it.
ICYMI: @QnsBPRichards on if he wants @NYCSpeakerAdams \"She has led with grace and integrity, earning my full respect\".
Adrienne Adams has also been a vocal opponent of Eric Adams' increasingly conservative policies, notably his endorsement of Trump’s strict immigration measures. pic.twitter.com/TGlDe5o8NK
— Dan Mannarino (@DanMannarino) February 22, 2025
Eric Adams’ tenure as mayor has been overshadowed by scandals, with the most notable involving illegal campaign donations received from Turkish officials in exchange for political favors.
Eric Adams (+1200)
He was indicted in September 2024, facing allegations of accepting kickbacks involving Turkish Airlines in return for easing fire inspection protocols for the Turkish consulate in New York. Those charges were dropped by the Trump administration in February.
For example, he accepted luxurious upgrades During a recent Black History Month event at Gracie, Mayor Adams drew a controversial comparison between himself and Jesus, asserting: \"This is a biblical moment… When Jesus was crucified, he stated, 'God forgive them for they know not what they do.' I see the same in those who demand I resign.\"
Now, with his popularity waning, the incumbent mayor is battling to salvage his political career while navigating the fallout from his scandals and his ties to Trump in a city that largely leans Democratic. pic.twitter.com/sANImL1vDi
— Chris Sommerfeldt (@C_Sommerfeldt) February 26, 2025
Zohran Mamdani, identifying as a Democratic Socialist, has shown strong performance in recent polls. Representing Queens, he is an assemblyman who
Zohran Mamdani (+1200)
According to a poll commissioned by Tusk Strategies, which has connections to Cuomo, Mamdani appears to be in a favorable second place position, potentially aligning with Cuomo's interests. polled second behind Cuomo in a recent Tusk Strategies poll.
Among the progressives, Mamdani is the most competitive , with $641,000 in one fundraising round.
Mamdani has advocated for progressive measures, such as a rent freeze and free public transportation. However, he has also leveled accusations of genocide against Israel regarding its actions in Gaza, proclaiming he would https://t.co/Sy0HpHGVjT
— Sally Goldenberg (@SallyGold) February 25, 2025
if he were to hold office in New York City. This proposed governance comes with complexities, particularly given that New York is home to one of the largest Jewish communities globally, thus providing ammunition for his rivals. arrest the Israeli prime minister Crucial Topics for the New York City Mayoral Election
A survey conducted in February 2025 identified several key issues that New Yorkers are concerned about:
A People’s Pulse survey All of these issues are significant in their own right. Given New York City's notorious expense and the need for safe urban environments, the pace of life can lead to feelings of disconnection among residents sharing the crowded city.
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- Feb 26th, 2025 7:14am EST
- 2025 New York Mayor Betting Odds
However, all three matters are interconnected with one major concern: homelessness. The survey revealed that, while New Yorkers largely express empathy for those without homes, there have been alarming incidents involving volatile and mentally unwell individuals on subways, raising public safety and mental health to the forefront of public discourse.
Therefore, the next mayor will need to address the challenge of implementing humane and effective strategies to tackle homelessness in one of the most expensive cities in the United States.
Polling Trends for the 2025 New York City Mayoral Election
As of late February, the available polling data concerning the mayoral candidates remains sparse. There are just two polls revealing preliminary trends. One is from Tusk Strategies, associated with Andrew Cuomo, and the other from Unite NY/Citizens Data.
Current polling results are showing volatility among candidates, with notable disparities in the ratings of Lander, Mamdani, Stringer, and Ramos. The only consistent factor remains that Cuomo is leading significantly.
Both polls indicate Cuomo is in front, which is expected given his extensive political career and the substantial campaign infrastructure likely established in his favor. This is the only similarity between the two polls. BetOnline
Candidate Odds
The Tusk Strategies poll is probably more credible as it surveys likely Democratic voters instead of merely registered voters throughout New York City. Given the current political climate and the Democrats' resentment towards Trump and Musk's DOGE decisions, it’s highly probable that the Democratic nominee will win.
Clever bettors will observe that the Tusk Strategies poll results closely reflect the betting odds on BetOnline for the New York mayoral election compared to those from the Unite NY poll.
Forecast for the 2025 New York City Mayoral Election and Ideal Bets
I predict that Andrew Cuomo will make a political comeback and secure the mayoral position in New York City. Since leaving office, he has focused on repairing his public image. Winning the mayorship of America’s largest city could also serve as a springboard for his political career.
After his resignation, he adeptly navigated the political landscape shaped by Trump’s haughty leadership during the pandemic. Cuomo has the potential to leverage this ability for a party searching for identity post-2024 electoral defeats and amidst difficulties in targeting voter frustrations.
For the time being, Elon Musk seems to be emerging as that divisive figure. The true electoral impact of any public discontent directed at Musk, however, is yet to be determined. Andrew Cuomo Cuomo’s national political experience is a key reason for his lead in the odds, making it a robust prediction for those betting on the next New York City mayor.
Where to Place Bets for the 2024 New York City Mayoral Election?
The outcome of New York City’s mayoral election holds significant implications for the Democratic party’s vision for the future in light of Eric Adams’ numerous scandals. As it stands, Cuomo appears to have a strong chance of winning the election, even before officially launching his campaign.
BetOnline presents odds for a wide array of mayoral candidates, from serious contenders to the more unconventional ones, offering bettors various ways to engage with what will undoubtedly be one of the most closely watched elections in 2025. If you choose to place a bet, there’s also a welcome bonus of $250 available with no strings attached!
Profile of Christopher Gerlacher
Christopher Gerlacher is a writer and journalist who has been covering the realm of political betting since the midterms in 2022. His blend of political insight and wagering expertise helps bettors interpret the significance behind election odds. With a penchant for politics akin to a sport, he has contributed to various political betting discussions online. Additionally, he is a dedicated fan of the Broncos and resides in the scenic foothills of Colorado.
Tish James
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pic.twitter.com/TGlDe5o8NK — Dan Mannarino (@DanMannarino) February 22, 2025 Eric Adams .