Locating accurate predictions for the 2025 NBA Play-In can be quite challenging! Current betting odds indicate that most matches are expected to be closely contested, with one significant exception. Who will make it to the following round, though?
In this piece, I delve into the most recent odds, evaluate the matchups, and share my predictions for the NBA Play-In!
Summary of Betting Odds and Predictions for the 2025 NBA Play-In
The upcoming NBA Play-In Tournament odds are provided by Bovada :
MATCHUP/MONEYLINE | POINT SPREAD | PREDICTION |
---|---|---|
Atlanta Hawks (+165) vs. Orlando Magic (-195) | Hawks +5 (-110); Magic -5 (-110) | Hawks +5 (-110) |
Memphis Grizzlies (+235) vs. Golden State Warriors (-280) | Grizzlies +6.5 (-110); Warriors -6.5 (-110) | Grizzlies +6.5 (-110) |
Miami Heat (-105) vs. Chicago Bulls (-115) | Heat +1 (-110); Bulls -1 (-110) | Bulls -1 (-110) |
Dallas Mavericks (+165) vs. Sacramento Kings (-195) | Mavericks +5 (-115); Kings -5 (-105) | Kings -5 (-105) |
The initial matchups of the NBA Play-In Tournament feature four games. This competition determines the final two No. 7 and No. 8 seeds for the playoffs in both the Eastern and Western Conferences.
Following the first game of each play-in series on Tuesday and Wednesday, the losing teams from the No. 7 and No. 8 matchups will face off against the winners of the No. 9 vs. No. 10 matchups on Friday. Keep in mind that the victors of the No. 7 vs. No. 8 games automatically progress.
The best NBA betting sites We have refreshed NBA Play-In odds for every matchup on the schedule!
Below, you can find the rationale behind each of our predictions for the 2025 NBA Play-In Tournament, starting with the Eastern Conference!
Atlanta Hawks vs. Orlando MagicOdds and Prediction (East Play-In)
TEAM POINT SPREAD MONEYLINE TOTAL Atlanta Hawks +5 (-110) +165 Over 217 (-110) Orlando Magic -5 (-110) -195 Under 217 (-110)
The Atlanta Hawks (40-42) are set to compete against the Orlando Magic (41-41) at the Kia Center in a No. 8 versus No. 7 game. The winning team will advance to the first round of the NBA Playoffs, while the losing team will move on to the next phase of the Play-In on Friday.
The Hawks come into this match riding a wave of momentum, having won three consecutive games in the regular season. They achieved double-digit victories against the Brooklyn Nets, 133-109, the Philadelphia 76ers, 124-110, and the Magic, 117-105. While their offense has been firing on all cylinders, they've encountered challenges against the Magic's defense.
This matchup is a classic battle of offensive prowess versus defensive strength. The Magic rank as the top defensive team in the league, allowing just 105.5 points per game (with only 103.5 points at home). However, their offensive performance has not matched this success.
The Magic have managed to score an average of only 105.4 points per game, ranking 28th in the league. When their offense struggles, it significantly hampers their ability to win, as seen by their narrow -0.1 point differential for the season. Additionally, there's a concern regarding Paolo Banchero's ankle injury as they approach the Play-In. NBA Banchero is expected to be available for this matchup, yet he might not be at full strength. I would feel more confident betting on the Magic if he is around 95%! The Hawks have a -1.1 point differential, but they've shown a solid +16.7 in their last three games. With Trae Young leading the way, the Hawks emphasize offensive efficiency.
Trae Young has had another standout season, playing a pivotal role as the leader for Atlanta 🫡
He topped the league in assists during the 2024-25 regular season.
Hawks vs. Magic: Predictions and Betting Recommendations pic.twitter.com/Ll4I834fiv
— NBA on TNT (@NBAonTNT) April 13, 2025
The Hawks rank fifth in the NBA, averaging 118.2 points scored per game. They allow slightly more points defensively but don’t need to be overly concerned about facing a dominant Magic offense.
This game could very well come down to the last moments, so taking the Hawks with a +5 spread seems like a wise choice for your NBA Play-In bets! Even if the Magic find a way to win, it should still be a tightly contested game.
In an exciting contest, the Memphis Grizzlies (48-34) face the Golden State Warriors (48-34). Both teams in this Play-In Tournament represent the best in terms of records over .500!
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Golden State WarriorsOdds and Prediction (West Play-In)
TEAM MONEYLINE POINT SPREAD TOTAL Memphis Grizzlies +235 +6.5 (-110) Over 229.5 (-110) Golden State Warriors -285 -6.5 (-110) Under 229.5 (-110)
This matchup includes the No. 7 and No. 8 seeds, with the winner securing a spot in the first round of the NBA Playoffs. This is a drastic change for Steph Curry and the Warriors, who are used to battling for top playoff positions during his lengthy career in the Bay Area.
Nonetheless, the Warriors are still in contention. Their offense has been lackluster this season, ranking 17th in the league with an average of 113.8 points per game. Despite this, their defense remains solid, ranking eighth in the league by allowing only 110.5 points on average. However, the tenacity and edge often displayed by the Warriors seems to have diminished, potentially creating issues against a Grizzlies team that boasts one of the most prolific offenses.
The Grizzlies are currently second in the league, trailing only the Cleveland Cavaliers with an impressive 121.7 points per game. Even though they find themselves in the Play-In Tournament, they finished the season with an admirable +4.9 point differential, while the Warriors end up with a +3.3 differential, ranking 10th.
Grizzlies vs. Warriors: Predictions and Betting Insights
lob it up. @JaMorant ➡️ @zach_edey
watch: @FDSN_Grizzlies pic.twitter.com/DFAFAf3nwt
— Grind City Media (@grindcitymedia) April 12, 2025
Similar to the Hawks, the Grizzlies' defensive performance needs improvement. While they allowed 116.9 points per game, players like Ja Morant, Jaren Jackson Jr., and Desmond Bane bring significant firepower offensively to challenge the Warriors. The Warriors’ defense isn't the formidable force it once was, which may create opportunities for the Grizzlies.
This should be another nail-biting finish, making the Grizzlies one of the top picks for the 2025 NBA Play-In Tournament at these odds! I'll opt for a safer bet and support them in the spread betting, yet the moneyline for Memphis is equally enticing.
The Miami Heat (37-45) are making their way to the United Center for a No. 9 vs. No. 10 showdown against the Chicago Bulls (39-43). The Heat were the last team from the Eastern Conference to secure a playoff position. Their season has been a rollercoaster ride, much to the discontent of Heat supporters.
Back when they made it to the NBA Finals as an No. 8 seed, expectations were high. However, if fans are hoping for a repeat of that success, they may be disappointed. That previous team had a lot going for them, especially with Jimmy Butler's key contributions, but he has since been traded to the Warriors, leaving a significant void.
Miami Heat vs.Chicago BullsOdds and Prediction (East Play-In)
TEAM MONEYLINE POINT SPREAD TOTAL Miami Heat -105 +1 (-110) Over 220 (-105) Chicago Bulls -115 -1 (-110) Under 220 (-115)
However, Bam Adebayo and Tyler Herro have the capability to keep the Heat competitive in this matchup. It should be noted, though, that Miami has struggled on the road this season with a 17-23 record. They average only 110.6 points per game, placing them 24th in the league for scoring! Their defense, which they typically rely on, isn’t among the top teams, as they give up about 110 points per game.
In 2023, the Heat became the second team in NBA history The Bulls come into this game riding a wave of momentum. They have won three consecutive matches and seven out of their last ten games, including a victory at home over the Heat by a score of 119-111. Josh Giddey stood out with an impressive 28 points, 16 rebounds, and 11 assists!
With this performance, Josh Giddey becomes the third player this season to achieve such remarkable statistics.
The other two exceptional players: LeBron James & Nikola Jokic.
1000 pts, 500 reb, 500 ast!
Josh Giddey is having an outstanding season after joining his new team in Chicago, where he's been instrumental in leading the Bulls to an average of 117.8 points per game — the sixth-highest in the NBA for the 2024-25 season.
Heat vs. Bulls: Predictions and Betting Insights pic.twitter.com/MBAsoL17xV
— Chicago Bulls (@chicagobulls) April 10, 2025
With Giddey and Nikola Vucevic both looking to make an impact, they could provide the extra boost the Bulls need in this home game. Expect another fiercely competitive contest — the Bulls as a slight favorite represent one of the best betting opportunities in the NBA Play-In this week!
What a change for the Dallas Mavericks (39-43) to transition from the NBA Finals to the NBA Play-In Tournament in just one season. A key player from last year’s team will be notably absent!
Luka Doncic's surprising trade to the LA Lakers stands as one of the most unexpected deals in NBA history. Consequently, the enthusiasm among Mavericks fans regarding their matchup against the Sacramento Kings (40-42) may not be as high.
Dallas Mavericks vs. Sacramento KingsOdds and Prediction (West Play-In)
Luka Dončić finished with an impressive 45 points, 8 rebounds, 6 assists, and 4 steals upon his return to Dallas.
As he left the game for the last time, the crowd erupted in a resounding chant of \"Fire Nico\" aimed at GM Nico Harrison, who observed from the tunnel.
In fact, a few Mavericks fans might even be wishing for a loss this time around. GM Nico Harrison has become a polarizing figure in Dallas. So, how will the Mavericks respond to postseason competition in Sacramento?
The No. 10 team in the Western Conference struggled on the road this season, so a challenging experience is likely. The Mavericks tallied just a 17-25 record while away. A significant red flag has been their lack of defensive intensity in road games.
Lakers win 112-97. pic.twitter.com/7qgWnYqTza
— Nick Harris (@NickHarrisFWST) April 10, 2025
Dallas has allowed 111.4 points per game at home, yet that number shoots up to 119.4 points on the road! To make matters worse, the Mavericks possess a troubling -5.1 point differential away from home, the worst mark for any team participating in the NBA Play-In Tournament.
In contrast, the Kings have managed a +1.4 point margin of victory when playing at home during the regular season.
Zach LaVine & DeMar DeRozan put on a show, combining for 80 points against the Pistons 🤯
Mavericks vs. Kings: Predictions and Betting Recommendations
In summary, the Mavs currently sit at 20th in the league in defensive rankings. They need to prepare for a Kings team capable of getting hot offensively. The Kings rank 10th with an average of 115.7 points scored per game.
LaVine: 43 PTS
DeRozan: 37 PTSKINGS DUO COOKED 🔥 pic.twitter.com/SUsvuSPira
— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) April 8, 2025
Expect a strong and diverse offensive showing led by Domantas Sabonis, Zach LaVine, and DeMar DeRozan to outpace the Mavericks. I anticipate the Kings will pull away to secure a victory and cover the spread at home, making them a solid pick for your 2025 NBA Play-In Tournament bets!
Where to Place Your Bets on the NBA Play-In Tournament?
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- Predictions for the 2025 NBA Play-In, Including Betting Odds and Recommended Bets
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