Examining the Odds, Favorites, and Predictions for the Most Outstanding Player at the March Madness Final Four

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The odds for the Most Outstanding Player at the Final Four in 2025 showcase a strong frontrunner: Cooper Flagg! Yet, Duke faced a disappointing defeat against Houston during the Final Four showdown. This situation has now allowed stars from the Cougars and the Florida Gators to rise to the top of the favorites list.

This article delves into the current odds for the NCAA Most Outstanding Player for the 2025 tournament, breaks down the main competitors, and shares my predictions for the Final Four MOP.


Updated Odds for the 2025 Final Four's Most Outstanding Player

Refer to the table below for the most recent NCAA MOP odds, provided by our source. BetUS .

PLAYER ODDS
Walter Clayton Jr.(Florida) -110
LJ Cryer(Houston) +130
Emanuel Sharp(Houston) +1400
J’Wan Roberts(Houston) +1400
Alijah Martin(Florida) +2200
Thomas Haugh(Florida) +4000
Milos Uzan(Houston) +4000
Will Richard(Florida) +6500
Alex Condon(Florida) +10000
Joseph Tugler(Houston) +10000

With Cooper Flagg from Duke exiting the NCAA Tournament, Walter Clayton Jr. from Florida emerges as the new frontrunner at -110! This Gators star has a 52.4% chance of victory , and given his recent clutch performances, he rightfully claims this top position. Additionally, the Gators are slightly favored against Houston. March Madness odds heading into tonight’s title game!

L.J. Cryer of the Cougars is not far behind Clayton Jr., holding an implied chance of 43.5% for the award. College basketball betting sites Experts agree that the upcoming game will be decided by the performances of star guards Clayton Jr. and Cryer.

Following the favorites, the odds for the Most Outstanding Player drop to Houston's Emanuel Sharp and J’Wan Roberts, as well as Florida’s Alijah Martin, all at +1400 and +2200, respectively. The predicted probabilities for them range from 4.3% to 6.7% , which offers attractive potential returns for bets on less favored candidates!

There are also true longshot options like Thomas Haugh from Florida and Milos Uzan from Houston, both at +4000 odds. However, these players would need to deliver phenomenal performances to secure the NCAA Most Outstanding Player title.

More player options can be found at BetUS by navigating to BetUS > Basketball > NCAAM Awards > MOP.


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Top Contenders for the 2025 Final Four Most Outstanding Player Award

Before revealing my prediction for the Final Four Most Outstanding Player, let’s examine the key candidates for this prestigious award.

Walter Clayton Jr.(Florida) (-110)

Clayton Jr. According to the current betting landscape, one player appears to be a front-runner for the Most Outstanding Player award for 2025! This astonishing senior guard has shined in the postseason, boasting an average of 24.6 points per game, with an impressive shooting rate at 50% overall, 48.7% from three-point range, and 90.5% from the charity stripe.

The Florida native, who made the transfer from Iona in 2023, continues to elevate his game as the tournament advances. He netted 30 points in an 84-79 victory against Texas Tech and followed that with 34 points to secure a 79-73 triumph over Auburn, displaying remarkable resilience in both contests. the Gators When the pressure is on, Clayton Jr. steps up and delivers crucial baskets for his team. Remarkably, he joins another legendary player, being one of only two athletes to score over 30 points in consecutive games in the Elite Eight or later—Larry Bird is the other.

Recognized as a first-team All-American, Clayton Jr. has been the go-to player for Florida in crucial situations. He's proven himself thus far, but will he be able to excel when it counts the most in the championship match?

Clayton Jr. could find himself in a thrilling matchup against L.J. Cryer, who has earned a spot on the All-American third team. Cryer, like Clayton Jr., is also a transfer who initially played at Baylor. While he didn’t see much action while the Bears secured their national title in 2021, he has consistently delivered under pressure for Houston.

L.J. Cryer(Houston) (+130)

“Let’s be honest. He single-handedly kept Houston competitive during the game on Saturday.” Cryer star L.J. Cryer's impressive display against Duke

Cryer dropped 26 in the Cougars’ Houston's success can be credited to their elite defense, currently ranked as the best in the nation, but they must also score points, a task that generally falls on Cryer's shoulders. If Houston emerges victorious, it will likely be due to another stellar performance from him. His odds for Most Outstanding Player are certainly worth a look!

With just two teams remaining, the routes to both the national championship and the Most Outstanding Player award have never been clearer. Various sleeper candidates are also available for the MOP title.

He has been consistent for Houston and made significant contributions against Duke, scoring nine of his 16 points in the crucial final moments of the game. His defensive efforts also played a pivotal role in the Cougars tightening their grip against the Blue Devils in the second half.


Best 2025 MOP Sleepers

Emanuel Sharp: 16 points (9 of those in the last 2:05 of the game), shooting 4-13 overall, 3-7 from three, and hitting 5-6 from the free-throw line, alongside 3 rebounds within 34 minutes.

  1. 1.Emanuel Sharp (Houston)(+1400)

    Sharp The junior guard from Tampa, Florida, has averaged 13.8 points in the tournament, converting 37.5% of his shooting attempts overall, including 35.3% from three-point territory and 78.9% from the foul line.

    However, should Sharp successfully contain Clayton Jr. while also scoring between 18 and 20 points, his odds for MOP could present substantial value for bettors!

    Having been with Houston for six years and redshirting in 2019-20, he gained an additional year due to the pandemic. Throughout his time, he has developed under head coach Kelvin Sampson, with J’Wan Roberts epitomizing Sampson's coaching philosophy.

    “Experiencing this moment feels like something I was designed for, something I was built for” 👏

  2. 2.J’Wan Roberts (Houston)(+1400)

    Roberts J’Wan Roberts spoke with reporters post-Houston's astonishing comeback victory over Duke in the

    As the focus of the Cougars’ defense will be on Clayton Jr., this could open opportunities for Florida's own standout, the senior guard from Summit, Mississippi. He previously helped Florida Atlantic defy expectations by reaching the Final Four in 2023 before transferring to Florida.

    Martin has proven himself in the NCAA Tournament, averaging 15.2 points and 4.6 rebounds while shooting 48.1% from the floor, 39.1% from three-point range, and an impressive 85% from the free-throw line.

  3. 3.Alijah Martin (Florida)(+2200)

    He significantly contributed with 17 points in Florida's Final Four victory over Auburn and recorded 18 points during the second round against UConn, where Florida narrowly avoided an upset. I believe he presents a better betting option than either Sharp or Roberts to clinch the 2025 MOP, indicating that Martin holds considerable value for bettors! Martin I’ve picked Florida to win tonight’s matchup against Houston, which also means I’m putting my faith in Walter Clayton Jr. at -150 for my Most Outstanding Player wager ! There exists a scenario in which Martin could shine if the Cougars focus too much on Clayton Jr., yet I believe this All-American will find a way to create open shots!

    Throughout the season, Clayton Jr. has consistently drawn significant defensive attention, but when games tighten, he seems to thrive. While it will be challenging, I believe he will perform well enough to secure the MOP, so let’s back Walter Clayton Jr. at -150 !

    If you’re considering a sleeper bet, I recommend Alijah Martin at +2200; he could have a remarkable performance if Houston becomes overly fixated on Clayton Jr.


2025 MOP Prediction and Best Bets

Shaun Stack is a freelance writer who became part of Sports Geek in 2022 and has previously penned numerous articles related to casinos. He enjoys participating in any casino-related activities but has a particular preference for Blackjack and Texas Hold’em. Additionally, he's keen on sports betting, especially within the NFL, and is a passionate fan of Pennsylvania sports. Though originally from Kansas City, Missouri, Shaun currently resides in Pennsylvania.

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The Bet
Main Bet:Walter Clayton Jr. (Florida)
-150
The Bet
Sleeper Bet:Alijah Martin (Florida)
+2400
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